The first named cyclone in the Atlantic basin typically forms around June 20, with meteorologists tracking the first hurricane by Aug. 11. The first named storm will be Arthur.

Over 9,000 acres have been burnt, and the winds are expected to shift on Friday, which could bring smoke into the western suburbs of South Florida. The heat continues, but rain is on the horizon.

The amount of rainfall needed to end the drought around Florida varies from a few inches across Central Florida to nearly 30 inches along the Interstate 10 corridor.

The winds will continue gusty at times, but the chance for showers and storms returns on Thursday.

More than 100 wildfires are actively burning across Florida, with the largest greatest impacts reported across the northern part of the state.

Winds will be strong from the north as very dry air arrives across Florida. Much of the state is under a Red Flag Warning, signaling fire danger.

Florida starts the week with a bit of everything for everyone. Dry and windy conditions heighten fire danger in the Panhandle and North Florida, while South Florida remains soggy and humid.

Parts of Central and North Florida are forecast to reach 90 degrees or more by the end of the week and into the weekend, breaking new records.

A developing El Niño could affect Florida in two major ways: fewer Atlantic hurricanes, followed by a wetter, stormier winter with greater severe weather risk. NOAA says El Niño over a 60% chance of developing in summer 2026, with a 1-in-3 chance of becoming strong by late fall.

Forecasters expect tropical cyclone activity could resemble seasons in 2006, 2009, 2015 and 2023. El Nino plays a prominent role in each of the seasons.